Netflix (NFLX) shows a clear weekday edge on Thursdays. Daily-bar backtest from 24.05.2002-16.10.2026 on NASDAQ data: 640 up Thursdays out of 1,236 (51.78% win rate), cumulative ROI of 9,218.8% on Thursdays only, profit factor 1.47 and Sharpe ratio 1.81. The win rate is only slightly above coin-flip; the edge comes from much larger average gains than losses (average Thursday +0.44%). Longest winning run 7 Thursdays, longest losing run 12; volatility 3.84%. Thursday is NFLX's strongest weekday by far: it returns about 14 times Wednesday, the second-best day, while Fridays are negative over the same period. Video: youtube.com/shorts/TwI0GHC36Ho Historical pattern only - not investment advice, no guarantee of future results.
Over an empirical backtest sample comprising 1,236 audited executions, this model achieved a cumulative net return of +9,218.8% (+19.9% compound annual growth rate). Trade execution efficiency registered a 51.8% win rate (maintaining favorable win probability), paired with a solid profit factor of 1.47. Downside risk analysis records a maximum historical drawdown of -81.6% (elevated drawdown risk during market contractions requiring disciplined margin management), while current drawdown stands at -44.4% from recent peak equity. Risk metrics reflect an annualized Sharpe ratio of 1.81 (strong risk-adjusted stability) alongside an R² statistical fit score of 0.94 (94% consistency, indicating high equity curve linearity with controlled dispersion).
Historical return drift exhibits negative expectancy or elevated drawdown during the tested interval; macro trend filters are recommended.
