Discover how Bitcoin’s yearly performance evolved from 2014 to 2025. This data-driven analysis breaks down ROI, CAGR, Profit Factor, Sharpe Ratio, and Win Rate across each year — revealing when Bitcoin outperformed and when trading strategies struggled. See how the 2025 results compare to Bitcoin’s long-term average and what it means for the next bull run.
Over an empirical backtest sample comprising 365 audited executions, this model achieved a cumulative net return of -6.2% (0.0% compound annual growth rate). Trade execution efficiency registered a 50.4% win rate (maintaining favorable win probability), paired with a marginally positive profit factor of 1.01. Downside risk analysis records a maximum historical drawdown of -32.1% (moderate drawdown volatility), while current drawdown stands at -29.8% from recent peak equity. Risk metrics reflect an annualized Sharpe ratio of 0.05 (positive risk-adjusted compensation) alongside an R² statistical fit score of 0.07 (7% consistency, indicating pronounced cyclical return clusters).
Historical return drift exhibits negative expectancy or elevated drawdown during the tested interval; macro trend filters are recommended.
